- The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-130) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-8 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -110 | +110 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -110 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 82% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jean Segura has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 53% ROI)
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nelson | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Nelson | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Braxton Garrett | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 49% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+4.00 Units / 113% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.30 Units / 85% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 9-5 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 19.5% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 35.23% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -10.13% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -25.06% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 4.78% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -11.11% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.61% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are just 106-23 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks are just 97-33 (.746) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Marlins are just 109-18 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Marlins are just 10-36 (.217) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Marlins are 6-85 (.066) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .260 (243 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Diamondbacks on 59% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.. *
Diamondbacks hitters have put 50% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 18 walks in 331 PA’s (5%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters are slugging just .334 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (3,121 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have 852 strikeouts in 3,121 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters have 983 strikeouts in 3,653 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2020 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 65 of 529 batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 17 of 124 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.23 (52.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Okert (Marlins): Adductor, D15
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, Day-to-Day
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Luis Arraez (Marlins): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
