- The Padres (42-27) are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (32-37)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (4-2), 2.90 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (3-3), 3.94 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-130) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Diamondbacks vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 32-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 38-31 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -120 | +110 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 7 +100 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 68.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manaea | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
| Zac Gallen | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 39-30 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 6.22% ROI).
- 32-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1% ROI
- 29-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -16.28% ROI
- 38-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 7.03% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 38-31 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 8.59% ROI).
- 42-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 30-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -13.45% ROI
- 37-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 5.35% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .139 (5-for-36) against Zac Gallen when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (14/83) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 53% (47/88) against Zac Gallen this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .205 (9 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — 90th Percentile.
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .101 (14-for-139) against Sean Manaea with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 98th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (587/1,368) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (25 Total Bases / 139 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — 88th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .191 (13 Total Bases / 68 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-14 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Diamondbacks are just 25-146 (.146) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Diamondbacks are 4-29 (.121) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .073.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are 5-19 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Padres are just 34-4 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Padres are 19-5 (.792) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Padres are 24-14 (.632) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .308 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Diamondbacks hitters have 151 extra-base hits out of 352 total hits (43%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .212 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres have a winning percentage of 63% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,528 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
The Padres are batting just .237 at home since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2
The Padres have won 59% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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