Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 07, 2022, 10:42 AM
  • The Reds (19-35) are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (26-30)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tyler Gilbert (0-2), 5.02 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (2-0), 1.52 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-145) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Diamondbacks vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 26-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 24-30 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -155O 10 -110+120
Reds -1.5 +125U 10 -110-145

Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+11.45 Units / 111% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+5.10 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.50 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.25 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+13.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 33-23 against the Run Line (+8.2 Units / 11.33% ROI).

  • 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 2.39% ROI
  • 23-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -19.43% ROI
  • 32-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 9.78% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 24-30 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -14.18% ROI).

  • 19-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -21.2% ROI
  • 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 3.78% ROI
  • 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -14.01% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Graham Ashcraft has struck out just 8% (3/36) of left-handed batters he faced — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order — tied for 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .302 — 97th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has a strikeout rate of just 22% (6 SO in 27 PAs) with two-strikes — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (14/20) against Graham Ashcraft — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Diamondbacks are just 84-14 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 76-21 (.784) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are 10-3 (.769) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .672.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Reds are just 8-20 (.286) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Reds are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .282 (533 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .187 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Reds hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.

The Reds are batting just .203 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Reds pitchers have walked 832 of 8,245 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have walked 172 of 1,905 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 29 double plays in 420 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luke Weaver (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, D10
  • Senger Peralta (Diamondbacks): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.