- The Reds (19-35) are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (26-30)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tyler Gilbert (0-2), 5.02 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (2-0), 1.52 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-145) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Diamondbacks vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 26-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 24-30 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | O 10 -110 | +120 |
| Reds | -1.5 +125 | U 10 -110 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+11.45 Units / 111% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+5.10 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.50 Units / 80% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.25 Units / 97% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+13.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 33-23 against the Run Line (+8.2 Units / 11.33% ROI).
- 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 2.39% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -19.43% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 9.78% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 24-30 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -14.18% ROI).
- 19-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -21.2% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 3.78% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -14.01% ROI
Tyler Gilbert: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has struck out just 8% (3/36) of left-handed batters he faced — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order — tied for 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .302 — 97th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has a strikeout rate of just 22% (6 SO in 27 PAs) with two-strikes — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (14/20) against Graham Ashcraft — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 84-14 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Diamondbacks are just 76-21 (.784) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are 10-3 (.769) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .672.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 8-20 (.286) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Reds are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .282 (533 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .187 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Reds are batting just .203 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 832 of 8,245 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have walked 172 of 1,905 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 29 double plays in 420 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
- Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
- Luke Weaver (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, D10
- Senger Peralta (Diamondbacks): Back, Day-to-Day
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D10
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