Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (65-73) are -165 favorites vs the Rockies (61-79)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (11-2), 2.41 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (2-7), 5.84 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 64-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 74-62 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 -110O 10.5 -110-165
Rockies +1.5 -110U 10.5 -110+135

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 47 of his last 98 games (+13.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+13.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.65 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games at home (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+11.20 Units / 47% ROI)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Serven 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
C.J. Cron 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Michael Toglia 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Ryan McMahon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Serven 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Michael Toglia 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Ryan McMahon 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Yonathan Daza 1.5 +160 1.5 -250

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Serven 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
C.J. Cron 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Michael Toglia 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Ryan McMahon 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen 5.5 -125 5.5 -110
Ryan Feltner 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 60 games (+31.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+13.05 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 44 away games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 34% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 79-56 against the Run Line (+19.7 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 64-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.69% ROI
  • 62-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -8.55% ROI
  • 68-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.87% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 74-62 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 3.44% ROI).

  • 60-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
  • 65-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -4.82% ROI
  • 65-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -4.59% ROI

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (fourth lowest)– seventh Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (tied for sixth highest among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .549 (594 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 96th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has not allowed a HR in any of his last nine starts dating back to July 22nd — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 11.

Zac Gallen has allowed a BABIP of .186 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 419.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 398.1

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (148/626) against Ryan Feltner this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.

47% of Ryan Feltner’s called strikeouts are elevated this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 (138 Total Bases / 284 ABs) this season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .397 — seventh Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 105-33 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 48-14 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Diamondbacks are just 7-26 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 13-32 (.289) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 21-46 (.313) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rockies are 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Rockies are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .958 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .285 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Rockies pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 498.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 462.9

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.