Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (80-35) are -175 favorites vs the Brewers (62-53)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (14-1), 2.24 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (8-4), 3.64 ERA
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+145) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 80-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 46-69 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -105O 8 -105-175
Brewers +1.5 -115U 8 -115+145

Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 60 away games (+15.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 52 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)

Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Christian Yelich 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Kolten Wong 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Luis Urias 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Christian Yelich 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Kolten Wong 0.5 -155 0.5 +105
Luis Urias 0.5 -140 0.5 +100

Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Christian Yelich 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Kolten Wong 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Luis Urias 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Lauer 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
Tony Gonsolin 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 112 games (+29.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 42 games (+20.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 111 games (+15.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 95 games (+15.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 95 games (+8.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+1.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 73-42 against the Run Line (+28.1 Units / 20.33% ROI).

  • 80-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 3.47% ROI
  • 47-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -14.25% ROI
  • 59-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 5.32% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 46-69 against the Run Line (-29.2 Units / -20.88% ROI).

  • 62-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -9.82% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.28% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.77% ROI

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .203 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .126 (47-for-374) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .128 (34-for-265) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .215 (57 Total Bases / 265 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 98th Percentile.

Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (91/290) against Eric Lauer this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (47/135) against Eric Lauer in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (113/333) against Eric Lauer this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed an OPS of .988 (181 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .728 — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Dodgers are 40-20 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Dodgers are 72-14 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 39-15 (.722) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Dodgers are 118-47 (.715) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Brewers are 32-30 (.516) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 6-40 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Brewers are 27-11 (.711) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,220 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,348 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .456 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (7,570 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .682 (2,734 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (1244.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (2469.2 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Arm, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.