- The Dodgers (41-25) are -160 favorites vs the Reds (23-44)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (8-0), 2.82 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (2-4), 3.32 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Dodgers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 41-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-37 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -115 | -160 |
| Reds | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -105 | +135 |
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 34 away games (+17.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 31 away games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.00 Units / 121% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+6.55 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Aramis Garcia | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Solano | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Aramis Garcia | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Solano | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Aramis Garcia | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Solano | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 62 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 63 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 37-29 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 6.48% ROI).
- 41-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -8.11% ROI
- 26-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -17.36% ROI
- 35-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 8.82% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 30-37 against the Run Line (-11.9 Units / -14.22% ROI).
- 23-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -23.79% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 3.93% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -13.38% ROI
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .889 (24 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .426 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters batted just .000 (0-for-21) against Tyler Anderson — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile..
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .094 (8 Total Bases / 85 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an OBP of just .178 (146 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 93rd Percentile.
Luis Castillo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (370/659) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (1,192/3,952) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (64/332) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (447/895) of the time since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 20-4 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
The Dodgers are 21-13 (.618) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers are 18-70 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Dodgers are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Reds are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Reds are just 22-35 (.386) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Reds are just 2-127 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .329 (2,526 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .327 (6,366 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1013.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 41% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (2039.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 518 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Reds have allowed 1.82 runs per game (122/67) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (295.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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