Dodgers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (41-25) are -160 favorites vs the Reds (23-44)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (8-0), 2.82 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (2-4), 3.32 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Dodgers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 41-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-37 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +100O 9.5 -115-160
Reds +1.5 -120U 9.5 -105+135

Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 34 away games (+17.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 31 away games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.00 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+6.55 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nick Senzel has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nick Senzel has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)

Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Aramis Garcia 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Brandon Drury 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Solano 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Joey Votto 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Aramis Garcia 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Brandon Drury 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Solano 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Joey Votto 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Aramis Garcia 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Brandon Drury 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Solano 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Joey Votto 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Castillo 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
Tyler Anderson 4.5 -140 4.5 +100
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 62 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 63 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 37-29 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 6.48% ROI).

  • 41-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -8.11% ROI
  • 26-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -17.36% ROI
  • 35-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 8.82% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 30-37 against the Run Line (-11.9 Units / -14.22% ROI).

  • 23-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -23.79% ROI
  • 36-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 3.93% ROI
  • 30-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -13.38% ROI

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .889 (24 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .426 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters batted just .000 (0-for-21) against Tyler Anderson — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile..

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .094 (8 Total Bases / 85 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an OBP of just .178 (146 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 93rd Percentile.

Luis Castillo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (370/659) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (1,192/3,952) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (64/332) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (447/895) of the time since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Dodgers are 20-4 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .676.

The Dodgers are 21-13 (.618) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Dodgers are 18-70 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .123.

The Dodgers are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Reds are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.

The Reds are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Reds are just 22-35 (.386) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Reds are just 2-127 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .329 (2,526 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.

Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .327 (6,366 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1013.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 41% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (2039.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 518 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Reds have allowed 1.82 runs per game (122/67) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (295.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.

Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.