Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (61-50) are -190 favorites vs the Giants (53-55)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (7-9), 4.41 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (4-5), 4.16 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Francisco Giants (+155) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 53-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 51-60 ATS.

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -135O 7.5 -110+155
Padres -1.5 +110U 7.5 -110-190

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+15.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games at home (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Brandon Drury 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Josh Bell 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Brandon Drury 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Josh Bell 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Brandon Drury 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Josh Bell 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 7.5 -105 7.5 -135
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 100 games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 89 games (+3.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+1.00 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games (+10.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 49-59 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -11.73% ROI).

  • 53-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.9 Units / -13.1% ROI
  • 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.57% ROI
  • 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -7.51% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 51-60 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -8.32% ROI).

  • 61-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.37% ROI
  • 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -7.38% ROI
  • 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.34% ROI

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (245/732) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (122/334) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (414/1,204) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (1 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 18 of 78 batters (23%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 41 of 224 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (92 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Blake Snell has walked 27 of 233 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Giants are 5-43 (.104) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Giants are 28-7 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Giants are 42-3 (.933) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are 30-27 (.526) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Padres are 51-14 (.785) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Padres are 19-5 (.792) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Padres are 31-23 (.574) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Giants are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.

The Giants are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have an OBP of .324 (7,317 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,420 of their 4,322 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Padres are batting just .169 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Padres are batting just .232 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 149 of 2,420 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Padres pitchers have walked 23 of 517 batters (4%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.

Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.