- The Padres (88-72) are -150 favorites vs the Giants (80-80)
- Giants starting pitcher: – (-), – ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (7-9), 5.15 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-150) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 80-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 71-88 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 7 +100 | +125 |
| Padres | -1.5 +145 | U 7 -120 | -150 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Wynns has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lewis Brinson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games at home (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 64 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 76-84 against the Run Line (-15.85 Units / -8.01% ROI).
- 80-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -9.16% ROI
- 74-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 77-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -2.79% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 71-88 against the Run Line (-23.35 Units / -11.83% ROI).
- 88-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 73-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -9.37% ROI
- 82-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.04% ROI
–: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 41% (105 SO in 258 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 33% (237 SO in 710 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (56 SO in 142 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (3/20) against Carlos Rodon — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 37% of the time (1,363/3,641) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 39% of the time (553/1,406) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 94th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 38% of the time (377/981) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 40% of the time (1,664/4,120) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 24-133 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are just 27-71 (.276) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Giants are just 10-14 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 33-10 (.767) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Padres are 72-25 (.742) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Padres are 31-9 (.775) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Padres are 30-11 (.732) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Giants hitters are slugging .877 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .552.
The Giants are batting just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .297 (716 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 728 strikeouts in 3,512 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have drawn 827 walks in 8,712 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
The Padres are batting just .230 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 176 of 2,883 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 853 of 12,002 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Padres pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Padres pitchers have walked 88 of 1,431 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Padres have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Logan Webb (Giants): Undisclosed, D15
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Thumb, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Hip, D15
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
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