- The Giants are -185 favorites vs the Tigers
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (-185) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+150) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Giants vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-8 ATS.
Giants vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | -185 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | +150 |
Giants vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 75.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+8.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 64% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.15 Units / 172% ROI)
Tigers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Tigers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Matthew Boyd | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.15 Units / 90% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+0.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+4.60 Units / 153% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -33.07% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -34.3% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 23.05% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -31.49% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -21.45% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 23.62% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -31.17% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (349/612) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has struck out 42% (17/40) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (1,038/1,626) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Logan Webb has a strike rate of 71% (103/145) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has walked 7 of 29 right-handed batters (24%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 35% (7/20) of right-handed hitters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (13/28) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has a strike rate of just 49% (20/41) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Giants are 51-59 (.464) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Giants are 31-20 (.608) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
The Giants are just 10-14 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Tigers are just 2-3 (.400) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Tigers are just 8-33 (.195) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers are just 69-91 (.431) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Tigers are just 3-94 (.031) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .863 (400 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Giants hitters have 156 strikeouts in 562 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .133 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (536 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Tigers are batting just .197 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .331 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,742 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 101 of 1,566 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
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