Giants vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 27, 2022, 9:29 AM
  • The Twins (63-61) are -140 favorites vs the Giants (61-63)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (4-6), 3.99 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (7-4), 3.10 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-140) on Saturday, August 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Giants vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 60-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 56-66 ATS.

Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -185O 7.5 -120+115
Twins -1.5 +150U 7.5 +100-140

Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 away games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 away games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+15.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+15.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 41 games at home (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 116 games (+8.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 122 games (+11.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 54-67 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -13.77% ROI).

  • 60-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.6 Units / -11.85% ROI
  • 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -3.51% ROI
  • 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -5.6% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 56-66 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -8.54% ROI).

  • 63-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -2.41% ROI
  • 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -1.94% ROI
  • 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -5.63% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (188/307) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (494/1,199) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 52% of the time (418/803) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (719/1,681) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (203/401) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (102 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (375/725) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (534/1,051) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Giants are 29-9 (.763) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Giants are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Giants are 40-8 (.833) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .215 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 56% on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .766 (1,586 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Twins hitters are slugging .603 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .569.

Twins hitters have a groundball batting average of just .165 this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Twins hitters have just 57 strikeouts in 376 PA’s (15%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 749 of 10,655 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 157 of 2,563 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Twins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.