- The Twins (63-61) are -140 favorites vs the Giants (61-63)
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (4-6), 3.99 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (7-4), 3.10 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-140) on Saturday, August 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Giants vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 60-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 56-66 ATS.
Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -120 | +115 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 +100 | -140 |
Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 away games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 away games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+15.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+15.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 41 games at home (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 116 games (+8.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 122 games (+11.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 54-67 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -13.77% ROI).
- 60-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.6 Units / -11.85% ROI
- 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -3.51% ROI
- 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -5.6% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 56-66 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -8.54% ROI).
- 63-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -2.41% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -1.94% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -5.63% ROI
Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (188/307) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (494/1,199) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 52% of the time (418/803) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (719/1,681) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (203/401) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (102 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (375/725) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (534/1,051) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are 29-9 (.763) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Giants are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Giants are 40-8 (.833) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .215 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Giants have a winning percentage of 56% on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Giants are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .766 (1,586 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Twins hitters are slugging .603 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .569.
Twins hitters have a groundball batting average of just .165 this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Twins hitters have just 57 strikeouts in 376 PA’s (15%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 749 of 10,655 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 157 of 2,563 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
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