- The – are favorites vs the –
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb, – ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole, – ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Giants vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 8-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 12-10 ATS.
Giants vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Giants vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Yankees vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Yankees vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Yankees vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 -110 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 80 games at home (+13.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 9-10 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -5.43% ROI).
- 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -18.28% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -10.45% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 12-10 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 4.02% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -14.93% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 9.84% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -15.98% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 57% (326/567) against Logan Webb last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb located 73% of his pitches down (505/689) with runners in scoring position last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb located 64% of his pitches down (969/1,504) vs left-handed batters last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (2,205/3,668) in non-two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
51% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts came on 97+ MPH fastballs last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (647/1,115) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .246 (17-for-69) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 97th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 35% (135 SO in 382 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 54-9 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Giants are 28-11 (.718) when scoring in the first inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 17-14 (.548) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters struck out 479 times in 1,932 PA’s (25%) against LHP last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have drawn 344 walks in 3,622 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 162 walks in 1,549 PA’s (10%) against LHP last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 268 walks in 2,113 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 123 walks in 1,219 PA’s (10%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 271 walks in 2,878 PA’s (9%) when leading off an inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,900 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D15
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
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