Guardians vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games

(AP Photo)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 24, 2022, 3:30 PM

The Padres (68-57) are -165 favorites vs the Guardians (65-56)
Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (9-5), 3.77 ERA
Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (5-6), 3.76 ERA
Watch the game on MLB Network

The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-165) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Guardians vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 65-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-66 ATS.

Guardians vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

	Spread	Over / Under	Moneyline
Guardians	+1.5 -150	O 7.5 -120	+140
Padres	-1.5 +125	U 7.5 +100	-165

Guardians vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+13.95 Units / 82% ROI)

Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)

Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)

Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)

Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+12.25 Units / 70% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+15.55 Units / 30% ROI)

Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 52 games (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 51 games (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)

Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 41 of his last 54 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)

Padres vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Brandon Drury	0.5 +400	0.5 -750
Ha-seong Kim	0.5 +650	0.5 -2000
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 +450	0.5 -1000
Josh Bell	0.5 +450	0.5 -900
Jurickson Profar	0.5 +525	0.5 -1200

Padres vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Brandon Drury	0.5 -250	0.5 +165
Ha-seong Kim	0.5 -190	0.5 +130
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 -275	0.5 +180
Josh Bell	0.5 -225	0.5 +150
Jurickson Profar	0.5 -225	0.5 +160

Padres vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Brandon Drury	0.5 +140	0.5 -200
Ha-seong Kim	0.5 +210	0.5 -350
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 +160	0.5 -250
Josh Bell	0.5 +170	0.5 -250
Jurickson Profar	0.5 +200	0.5 -300

Padres vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Blake Snell	6.5 +105	6.5 -150
Cal Quantrill	3.5 -135	3.5 -105

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 21 away games (+13.20 Units / 53% ROI)

The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 away games (+11.30 Units / 73% ROI)

The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 51 away games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)

The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 away games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)

The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 62 away games (+6.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 65-55 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 3.65% ROI).

65-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 7.58% ROI
55-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -5.72% ROI
57-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -2.57% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 56-66 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -8.74% ROI).

66-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
57-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.78% ROI
62-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -0.88% ROI

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (92/598) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 31% (88 SO in 282 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (32/172) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (63/363) against Cal Quantrill this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 90 of 721 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .358 (29 GB hits out of 81 GBs) against Blake Snell this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 43 of 242 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 57% (60 SO in 106 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Guardians are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Guardians are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Guardians are 11-46 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Guardians are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Padres are 23-6 (.793) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Padres are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 6-40 (.130) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Padres are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 599 strikeouts in 3,423 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 836 strikeouts in 4,571 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Padres hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Padres hitters have an OBP of .348 (601 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have walked 66 of 1,076 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 1.71 (63.0 IP) on the road this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 182 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.