- The Padres (68-57) are -165 favorites vs the Guardians (65-56)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (9-5), 3.77 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (5-6), 3.76 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-165) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Guardians vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 65-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-66 ATS.
Guardians vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -120 | +140 |
| Padres | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 +100 | -165 |
Guardians vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+13.95 Units / 82% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+12.25 Units / 70% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+15.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 52 games (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 51 games (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 41 of his last 54 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Padres vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Padres vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Padres vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -150 |
| Cal Quantrill | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 21 away games (+13.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 away games (+11.30 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 51 away games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 away games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 62 away games (+6.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 65-55 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 3.65% ROI).
- 65-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 7.58% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -5.72% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -2.57% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 56-66 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -8.74% ROI).
- 66-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 57-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.78% ROI
- 62-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -0.88% ROI
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (92/598) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 31% (88 SO in 282 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (32/172) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (63/363) against Cal Quantrill this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 90 of 721 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .358 (29 GB hits out of 81 GBs) against Blake Snell this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 43 of 242 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 57% (60 SO in 106 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Guardians are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Guardians are 11-46 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Guardians are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Padres are 23-6 (.793) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Padres are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 6-40 (.130) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Padres are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have just 599 strikeouts in 3,423 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 836 strikeouts in 4,571 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Padres hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .348 (601 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 66 of 1,076 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 1.71 (63.0 IP) on the road this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 182 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 65 of 1,117 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .179 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Padres vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Juan Soto (Padres): Back, Day-to-Day
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
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