Mariners vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 10:55 AM
  • The Mariners (45-42) are -105 favorites vs the Nationals (30-58)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Tomaso Milone (0-1), 3.60 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (5-6), 5.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Seattle Mariners (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mariners vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 45-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 37-51 ATS.

Mariners vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +150O 9 +100-105
Nationals +1.5 -185U 9 -120-115

Mariners vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 68.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 away games (+16.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Nationals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
    Josh Bell 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Juan Soto 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

    Nationals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
    Josh Bell 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Juan Soto 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Lane Thomas 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

    Nationals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Josh Bell 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Juan Soto 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

    Nationals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Josiah Gray 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
    Chris Flexen 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 away games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 75 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 45-42 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.36% ROI).

    • 45-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 2.95% ROI
    • 41-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -7.35% ROI
    • 44-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1.5% ROI

    Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 37-51 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -20.25% ROI).

    • 30-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.85 Units / -20.44% ROI
    • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.25% ROI
    • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -5.98% ROI

    Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 60% (489/810) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

    Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (141/260) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

    Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 40% of the time (375/937) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .267 (94-for-352) against Chris Flexen this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 15th Percentile.

    Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (63/228) against Josiah Gray this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

    Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 57% (377/663) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (39/132) against Josiah Gray this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

    Josiah Gray has walked 23 of 159 left-handed batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

    Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

    The Mariners are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Mariners are 32-6 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

    The Mariners are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Mariners are 5-38 (.116) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

    The Nationals are just 9-53 (.145) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

    The Nationals are just 14-31 (.311) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

    The Nationals are just 30-51 (.370) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

    The Nationals are just 101-16 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

    The Mariners are batting .396 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

    Mariners hitters have not struck out in 11 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

    Mariners hitters have drawn 99 walks in 878 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Nationals hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 62 opportunities (26%) this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

    Nationals have grounded 246 double plays since the start of last season — most in MLB.

    The Nationals have scored 0.99 runs per game (86/87) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.

    Nationals hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Mariners pitchers have walked 4 of 101 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

    Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.74 (364.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

    Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

    Nationals pitchers have walked 12 of 100 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

    Nationals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.