- The Rangers (24-27) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (23-29)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (3-5), 3.553 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (3-2), 4.33 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 23-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 32-19 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -120 | +100 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 +100 | -120 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+17.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+15.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 away games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 23 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1H Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1H Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.97 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+19.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1H Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 25-27 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -12.24% ROI).
- 23-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 2.28% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -9.84% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 32-19 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 16.67% ROI).
- 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.54% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -9.12% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.69% ROI
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 28% (29 SO in 105 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (29 SO in 221 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (57/326) against Marco Gonzales this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .735 (25 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .422 — fifth Percentile.
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has allowed a slugging percentage of .629 (22 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .356 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .343 (12-for-35) against Glenn Otto on sliders this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .219 — third Percentile.
Glenn Otto has not walked any of the 38 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Glenn Otto has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to May 19th — Martin Perez has the longest active streak at 10.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Mariners are just 11-19 (.367) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Mariners are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .931.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.
The Rangers are 12-2 (.857) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Rangers are just 12-15 (.444) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Rangers are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .670 (5,299 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (7,829 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,004 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,299 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 46 of 454 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
- Erik Swanson (Mariners): Right Shouler, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
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