- The Rangers are -160 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 29-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 38-19 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -110 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -160 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 70.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 49 games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+16.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+22.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+21.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+16.25 Units / 90% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+15.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 away games (+2.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+25.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 49 games (+24.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 49 games (+21.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 49 games (+20.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 27-31 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -6.95% ROI).
- 29-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -6.25% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -2.06% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 38-19 against the Run Line (+18.2 Units / 24.63% ROI).
- 37-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 17.99% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 9.11% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -18.08% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .215 (135 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has an average spin rate of 2604.8 RPM on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 2249.0 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has walked 3 of 135 batters (2%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (5/20) against Bryce Miller on fastballs away this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .225 (138 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .513 (139 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .722 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (3-for-22) against Nathan Eovaldi on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (33/223) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Mariners are 89-7 (.927) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Mariners are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Mariners are 94-2 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are 9-4 (.692) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Rangers are 18-8 (.692) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Rangers are just 1-96 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Rangers are just 89-16 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .220 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Mariners are batting just .230 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 51 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have a groundball batting average of .291 with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Rangers are batting .272 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .827 (601 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
Rangers hitters are slugging .458 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 51 of 977 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (27 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 593 of 8,143 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 142 of 2,113 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 182 of 1,939 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (495.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Illness, D15
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- John Crawford (Mariners): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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