Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 04, 2022, 1:57 PM
  • The Rangers (24-27) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (23-29)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (3-5), 3.553 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (3-2), 4.33 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 23-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 32-19 ATS.

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -190O 9 -120+100
Rangers -1.5 +155U 9 +100-120

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+17.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+15.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 away games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 23 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1H Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1H Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.97 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+19.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1H Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 25-27 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -12.24% ROI).

  • 23-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -9.32% ROI
  • 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 2.28% ROI
  • 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -9.84% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 32-19 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.54% ROI
  • 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -9.12% ROI
  • 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.69% ROI

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 28% (29 SO in 105 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (29 SO in 221 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (57/326) against Marco Gonzales this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .735 (25 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .422 — fifth Percentile.

Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Glenn Otto has allowed a slugging percentage of .629 (22 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .356 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .343 (12-for-35) against Glenn Otto on sliders this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .219 — third Percentile.

Glenn Otto has not walked any of the 38 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Glenn Otto has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to May 19th — Martin Perez has the longest active streak at 10.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Mariners are just 11-19 (.367) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Mariners are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .931.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.

The Rangers are 12-2 (.857) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rangers are just 12-15 (.444) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Rangers are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

 

The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Mariners hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .670 (5,299 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (7,829 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,004 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,299 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Mariners have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 46 of 454 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
  • Erik Swanson (Mariners): Right Shouler, D15
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.