- The Athletics (55-96) are +300 underdogs vs the Mets (96-56)
- Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (5-2), 2.31 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk (0-2), 7.13 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-400) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+300) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5.
The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 96-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 72-78 ATS.
Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -2.5 | O 6.5 -105 | -400 |
| Athletics | +2.5 | U 6.5 -115 | +300 |
Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 48 of his last 74 away games (+22.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 70 games (+18.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+17.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 53 games (+15.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 54 away games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Athletics vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1500 | 0.5 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Athletics vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Athletics vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Athletics vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 8.5 -150 | 8.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 87 of their last 152 games (+12.17 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 54 away games (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.10 Units / 68% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 83-68 against the Run Line (+14.65 Units / 7.77% ROI).
- 96-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 4.16% ROI
- 78-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 3.15% ROI
- 66-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -11.84% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 72-78 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -10.71% ROI).
- 54-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -12.13% ROI
- 69-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -8.37% ROI
- 75-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.21% ROI
Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .191 (786 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 42% (289/682) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 64% (336 SO in 528 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 46% (31 SO in 67 PAs) this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Kenneth Waldichuk: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting .361 (13-for-36) against Ken Waldichuk this month (2 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .244 — fourth Percentile.
The hardest ball hit off of Ken Waldichuk was 112.9 MPH — tied for 13th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.1
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OPS of 1.038 (66 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .715 — ninth Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .394 (66 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 11th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mets are 33-7 (.825) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Mets are 81-23 (.779) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Mets are just 3-46 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Mets are 83-5 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Athletics are just 2-76 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 12-40 (.231) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Athletics are just 15-40 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 787 strikeouts in 4,030 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (8,094 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (4,030 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .356 (594 PA’s) against RHP this month (21 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,682 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .594 (2,682 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 58% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have walked 78 of 1,353 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (90.0 IP) at home this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.
The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 12% of innings played this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Hamstring, D15
- Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
- Mychal Givens (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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