Mets vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 11:01 AM
  • The Athletics (55-96) are +300 underdogs vs the Mets (96-56)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (5-2), 2.31 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk (0-2), 7.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (-400) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+300) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5.

The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 96-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 72-78 ATS.

Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-2.5O 6.5 -105-400
Athletics +2.5U 6.5 -115+300

Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 48 of his last 74 away games (+22.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 70 games (+18.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+17.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 53 games (+15.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 54 away games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Athletics vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Cristian Pache 0.5 +1150 0.5
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +1050 0.5
Nick Allen 0.5 +1500 0.5
Sean Murphy 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Athletics vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Cristian Pache 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Jordan Diaz 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
Nick Allen 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Sean Murphy 0.5 -145 0.5 +100

Athletics vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Cristian Pache 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Sean Murphy 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Seth Brown 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Athletics vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob deGrom 8.5 -150 8.5 +105
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 87 of their last 152 games (+12.17 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 54 away games (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 83-68 against the Run Line (+14.65 Units / 7.77% ROI).

  • 96-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 4.16% ROI
  • 78-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 3.15% ROI
  • 66-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -11.84% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 72-78 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -10.71% ROI).

  • 54-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -12.13% ROI
  • 69-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -8.37% ROI
  • 75-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.21% ROI

Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .191 (786 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 42% (289/682) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 64% (336 SO in 528 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 46% (31 SO in 67 PAs) this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Kenneth Waldichuk: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Division opponents are hitting .361 (13-for-36) against Ken Waldichuk this month (2 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .244 — fourth Percentile.

The hardest ball hit off of Ken Waldichuk was 112.9 MPH — tied for 13th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.1

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OPS of 1.038 (66 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .715 — ninth Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .394 (66 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 11th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mets are 33-7 (.825) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Mets are 81-23 (.779) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Mets are just 3-46 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Mets are 83-5 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Athletics are just 2-76 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 12-40 (.231) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Athletics are just 15-40 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Mets hitters have just 787 strikeouts in 4,030 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (8,094 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (4,030 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .356 (594 PA’s) against RHP this month (21 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,682 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .594 (2,682 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 58% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets pitchers have walked 78 of 1,353 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (90.0 IP) at home this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.

The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 12% of innings played this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.

Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Hamstring, D15
  • Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
  • Mychal Givens (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.