- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The New York Mets (-140) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+115) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 8-10 ATS.
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -120 | -140 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -145 | U 9 +100 | +115 |
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Syndergaard | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.27 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 10-8 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 14.91% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 11.16% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -15.46% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 6.91% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 8-10 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -9.9% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -21.75% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -8.61% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (11/44) against Max Scherzer this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (20 Total Bases / 34 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .281 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (6/26) against Max Scherzer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (4-for-32) against Max Scherzer’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 91st Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 29 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 36 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 7 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Noah Syndergaard in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .250 — first Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 99-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Mets are 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Mets are 40-10 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Mets are 54-39 (.581) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Dodgers are 6-48 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 64 strikeouts in 386 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have just 127 strikeouts in 695 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have just 445 strikeouts in 2,232 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .580 (50 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .780 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,009 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (5,009 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .469 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 75 of 681 batters (11%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have allowed 3.15 runs per game (277/88) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 39 of 661 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1494.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (777.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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