- The Mets are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Giants starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling
- Watch the game on ESPN
The New York Mets (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Mets vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 8-12 ATS.
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -120 | -115 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 9 +100 | -105 |
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 18.18% ROI).
- 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 16.24% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -13.47% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.02% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 8-12 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -22.42% ROI).
- 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -34.17% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 4.98% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -13.67% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 39% (26/67) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 57% (205/358) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Tylor Megill allowed a batting average of just .163 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .324 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Tylor Megill allowed a batting average of just .163 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .324 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling has allowed 6 home runs this season — most among qualified RPs in MLB* — 100th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .784 (29 Total Bases / 37 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .371 — fourth Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed an OPS of 1.005 (55 PA’s) this season — 15th highest among among 242 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .686 — sixth Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (14 Total Bases / 24 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .256 — fourth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Mets are 102-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Mets are 102-3 (.971) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mets are 88-6 (.936) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are just 5-2 (.714) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Giants are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Giants are 29-40 (.420) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Giants are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 89 strikeouts in 512 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have just 157 strikeouts in 857 PA’s (18%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have just 450 strikeouts in 2,268 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have just 933 strikeouts in 4,806 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 216 strikeouts in 782 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .606 (281 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Giants hitters have 85 strikeouts in 281 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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