Mets vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 13, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Mets starting pitcher: Joseph Lucchesi
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
  • Watch the game on MASN

The New York Mets (-150) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 24-14 ATS.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +105O 9 +100-150
Nationals +1.5 -125U 9 -120+125

Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Joey Meneses 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Alex Call 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Dominic Smith 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Joey Meneses 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Alex Call 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Francisco Lindor 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Dominic Smith 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Joey Meneses 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alex Call 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Dominic Smith 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Lucchesi 3.5 -115 3.5 -110
Trevor Williams 3.5 +115 3.5 -155
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 26% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-24 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -21.03% ROI).

  • 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -19.51% ROI
  • 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -19.58% ROI
  • 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 10.2% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 24-14 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 18.66% ROI).

  • 16-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 12.11% ROI
  • 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -16.27% ROI
  • 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 8.54% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

keys to the game – away

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Nationals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
  • Chad Kuhl (Nationals): Foot, D15
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
  • James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
  • Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
  • Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D10
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
  • José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
  • Tomás Nido (Mets): Eye, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.