- The – (94-42) are favorites vs the – (94-42)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-9), 4.90 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (10-9), 3.21 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Washington Nationals () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Thursday, September 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 47-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 76-58 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | O | ||
| Cardinals | U |
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 33 away games (+19.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 away games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 51 games at home (+16.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 51 games at home (+15.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 56 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 53 games at home (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
| Josiah Gray | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 69 of their last 124 games (+13.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+11.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+5.90 Units / 118% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 away games (+3.55 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 59-75 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -13.98% ROI).
- 47-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -10.37% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -7.51% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 76-58 against the Run Line (+15.65 Units / 9.36% ROI).
- 78-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 6.15% ROI
- 62-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 66-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.2% ROI
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .694 (129 Total Bases / 186 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 56% (588/1,052) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed 34 home runs this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (184 Total Bases / 331 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (86/280) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (815/1,200) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time (363/548) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — 98th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (832/1,399) when behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 15-78 (.161) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Nationals are just 9-177 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Nationals are just 111-16 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Nationals are just 22-47 (.319) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 29-3 (.906) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Cardinals are 35-11 (.761) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
The Cardinals are 43-9 (.827) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Cardinals are 14-4 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 283 double plays in 2,193 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 358 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .811 (2,438 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 565 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .477 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .272 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 136 double plays in 1,029 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.1
Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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