Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (64-30) are -300 favorites vs the Nationals (32-65)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-3), 3.56 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (11-0), 2.01 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Washington Nationals (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Nationals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 32-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 57-37 ATS.

Nationals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+2.5 -120O 8.5 -115+240
Dodgers -2.5 +100U 8.5 -105-300

Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 31 away games (+20.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 47 of his last 91 games (+17.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+12.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Dodgers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Gavin Lux 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jake Lamb 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Max Muncy 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Gavin Lux 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jake Lamb 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Max Muncy 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Dodgers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Gavin Lux 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Jake Lamb 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Max Muncy 0.5 +115 0.5 -160

Dodgers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tony Gonsolin 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
Paolo Espino 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games (+5.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 91 games (+19.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 21 games (+15.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 94 games (+9.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 90 games (+5.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 41-56 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -19.52% ROI).

  • 32-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.55 Units / -22.26% ROI
  • 48-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.51% ROI
  • 44-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -7.79% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 57-37 against the Run Line (+18.05 Units / 16.26% ROI).

  • 64-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.75% ROI
  • 36-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -18.68% ROI
  • 50-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.95 Units / 9.62% ROI

Paolo Espino has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 4 double plays in 105 opportunities (4%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .237 (18-for-76) against Paolo Espino on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .341 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .156 (5-for-32) against Paolo Espino on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 99th Percentile.

Paolo Espino has averaged 71.2 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 79.0 — first Percentile.

Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .057 (2 GB hits out of 35 GBs) against Tony Gonsolin with runners on base this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .121 (39-for-322) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .181 (96-for-531) against Tony Gonsolin since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .168 (55-for-328) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Nationals are just 15-36 (.294) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Nationals are just 32-57 (.360) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Nationals are just 10-60 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Nationals are just 102-16 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Dodgers are 34-13 (.723) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Dodgers are 58-12 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 25-7 (.781) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 254 double plays in 1,901 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 42 double plays in 312 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have just 695 strikeouts in 3,613 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (6,954 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 706 walks in 6,954 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 72% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (389.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Nationals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 234 of 3,397 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.