- The Astros (81-47) are -250 favorites vs the Orioles (67-59)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (4-1), 4.72 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (16-3), 1.87 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Baltimore Orioles (+190) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Orioles vs Astros Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 67-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 64-61 ATS.
Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -115 | O 7 -115 | +190 |
| Astros | -1.5 -105 | U 7 -105 | -250 |
Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Astros vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Astros vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -115 |
| Austin Voth | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 83-42 against the Run Line (+33.05 Units / 19.92% ROI).
- 67-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.9 Units / 22.71% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -8.04% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.32% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 64-61 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 2.75% ROI).
- 79-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 1.95% ROI
- 45-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.9 Units / -24.79% ROI
- 73-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.25 Units / 16.77% ROI
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .407 (37-for-91) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .217 (65-for-299) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .157 — second Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .615 (56 Total Bases / 91 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .355 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of 1.047 (95 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .640 — 0 Percentile.
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .228 (569 PA’s) since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .170 (330 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 96th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .510 (570 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .203 (29 Total Bases / 143 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are 7-51 (.121) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Orioles are 37-24 (.607) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Orioles are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Orioles are 50-1 (.980) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are 70-18 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Astros are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 51-3 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Astros are 66-5 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 41% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles are batting just .109 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .232 (5,879 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 628 strikeouts in 3,488 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 248 strikeouts in 1,407 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 758 strikeouts in 4,148 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (1162.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (560.2 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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