- The Guardians (68-59) are -175 favorites vs the Orioles (67-61)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (9-9), 4.44 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (9-10), 3.16 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Baltimore Orioles (+145) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-175) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Orioles vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 67-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 68-58 ATS.
Orioles vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -105 | +145 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -115 | -175 |
Orioles vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Guardians vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Guardians vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Guardians vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Triston McKenzie | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 -110 |
| Jordan Lyles | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 83-44 against the Run Line (+30.35 Units / 18% ROI).
- 67-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +27.9 Units / 20.88% ROI
- 57-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -9.46% ROI
- 65-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 1.73% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 68-58 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 3.32% ROI).
- 68-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 7.66% ROI
- 55-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -9.38% ROI
- 62-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 1.15% ROI
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .247 (74-for-300) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — third Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .410 (123 Total Bases / 300 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .717 (329 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .469 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .323 (21-for-65) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .166 — first Percentile.
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has a strikeout rate of 47% (76 SO in 160 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (38-for-287) against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 83rd Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Triston McKenzie — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (7/29) against Triston McKenzie — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Orioles are 50-1 (.980) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Orioles are 22-4 (.846) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Orioles are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Orioles are 37-24 (.607) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Guardians are 11-51 (.177) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Guardians are 46-2 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Guardians are 12-48 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .467 (2,565 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 625 strikeouts in 3,557 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 884 strikeouts in 4,790 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .984 (2,023 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (1162.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Orioles pitchers have walked 342 of 4,782 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 1.93 (107.0 IP) on the road this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Guardians pitchers have walked 70 of 1,130 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 9 of 236 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (26 games) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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