Orioles vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 29, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (35-41) are -140 favorites vs the Orioles (35-41)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (0-0), 7.80 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (3-8), 4.30 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 35-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 38-38 ATS.

Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -175O 8 -105+115
Mariners -1.5 +145U 8 -115-140

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.05 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 105% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.55 Units / 80% ROI)

Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Carlos Santana 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Carlos Santana 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Carlos Santana 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games (+16.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 56 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 40% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-28 against the Run Line (+14.5 Units / 14.99% ROI).

  • 35-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 11.71% ROI
  • 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -12.03% ROI
  • 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 4.48% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 38-38 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -6.26% ROI).

  • 35-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -6.94% ROI
  • 35-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 39-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.83% ROI

Opponents are hitting .333 (24-for-72) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .238 (49-for-206) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — first Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — second Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .791 (75 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .469 — 0 Percentile.

Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (120/222) of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 61% (440/726) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (31/98) against Chris Flexen this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 36% (55 SO in 153 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 13th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Orioles are just 8-24 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Orioles are just 17-24 (.415) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Mariners are 21-5 (.808) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Mariners are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Mariners are 17-5 (.773) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .677.

The Mariners are just 16-19 (.457) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Orioles hitters have 227 strikeouts in 883 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .297 (5,879 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have 705 strikeouts in 2,954 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Mariners are batting just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Mariners pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mariners vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.