- The Mariners (35-41) are -140 favorites vs the Orioles (35-41)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (0-0), 7.80 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (3-8), 4.30 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 35-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 38-38 ATS.
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -140 |
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.05 Units / 117% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 105% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.55 Units / 80% ROI)
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games (+16.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 56 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-28 against the Run Line (+14.5 Units / 14.99% ROI).
- 35-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 11.71% ROI
- 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -12.03% ROI
- 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 4.48% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 38-38 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -6.26% ROI).
- 35-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 35-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -9.07% ROI
- 39-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.83% ROI
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .333 (24-for-72) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .238 (49-for-206) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — first Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — second Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .791 (75 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .469 — 0 Percentile.
Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (120/222) of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 61% (440/726) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (31/98) against Chris Flexen this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 36% (55 SO in 153 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 13th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are just 8-24 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Orioles are just 17-24 (.415) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are 21-5 (.808) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Mariners are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Mariners are 17-5 (.773) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .677.
The Mariners are just 16-19 (.457) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 227 strikeouts in 883 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .297 (5,879 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have 705 strikeouts in 2,954 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Mariners pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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