- The Orioles (73-67) are -155 favorites vs the Nationals (49-92)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (6-5), 3.23 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cory Abbott (0-2), 4.21 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Tuesday, September 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Orioles vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 73-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 60-78 ATS.
Orioles vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -110 | -155 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -110 | +125 |
Orioles vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+11.50 Units / 61% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 61 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 32 games (+17.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+13.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games at home (+13.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Nationals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Lane Thomas | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nelson Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
Nationals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+15.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 40 away games (+15.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 away games (+15.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 73 of their last 128 games (+17.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 88-50 against the Run Line (+28.35 Units / 15.54% ROI).
- 73-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +27.95 Units / 18.75% ROI
- 62-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -10.37% ROI
- 72-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 2.65% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 60-78 against the Run Line (-24.85 Units / -14.89% ROI).
- 48-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -10.53% ROI
- 69-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 0.65% ROI
- 62-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -8.76% ROI
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has not allowed a home run in any of the last 31.1 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 65.1.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .284 (208 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .238 — seventh Percentile.
Dean Kremer has induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 70 opportunities (19%) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (52/174) against Dean Kremer on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (5/22) against Cory Abbott this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Cory Abbott has thrown breaking pitches 50% of the time (30/60) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 91st Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are just 27-154 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Orioles are just 81-101 (.445) at home since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Orioles are 113-12 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Orioles are just 146-169 (.463) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals are just 111-24 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Nationals are just 9-179 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Nationals are just 137-191 (.418) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 112-16 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .250 over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Orioles are batting just .228 on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .232 (6,134 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 284 double plays in 2,220 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 364 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 215 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 0.00 (9.0 IP) on the road this month (1 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (1225.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (603.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% this month (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Keibert Ruiz (Nationals): Groin, D10
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Rougned Odor (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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