- The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish, 0.00 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos, 0.00 ERA
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Sunday, March 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Orioles are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-1 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -115 | +115 |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -105 | -135 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 142 games (+28.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 142 games (+22.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 1-5 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -67.5% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -52.26% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 26.87% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 6-1 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 66.11% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -4.35% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 35.9% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -44.74% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish had an ERA of 7.21 (63.2 IP) against division opponents last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — second Percentile.
Division opponents batted .324 against Kyle Bradish (85-for-262) last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.
Kyle Bradish had a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (294/509) last season — tied for 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents batted .410 (25-for-61) against Kyle Bradish on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 10th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yonny Chirinos has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 69-25 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Orioles are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Orioles are 14-68 (.171) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Orioles are 65-3 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 36-10 (.783) when scoring in the first inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters had an OPS of just .534 (259 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Orioles hitters have 909 strikeouts in 3,781 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .232 (6,578 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rays batted just .201 with runners on base over the last 30 days of the regular season (29 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters have grounded into 205 double plays in 2,580 opportunities (8%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 185 of 2,843 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,433 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
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