- The White Sox (33-36) are -200 favorites vs the Orioles (33-39)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (0-1), 6.00 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (1-0), 5.78 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Baltimore Orioles (+165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-200) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Orioles vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 33-39 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 32-37 ATS.
Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -115 | O 9 -115 | +165 |
| White Sox | -1.5 -105 | U 9 -105 | -200 |
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 68% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 35 games at home (+19.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 52 games (+14.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 79% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 45-27 against the Run Line (+13.05 Units / 14.29% ROI).
- 33-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 10.93% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -10% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 32-37 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -7.12% ROI).
- 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -8.88% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -6.9% ROI
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of just .529 (341 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (49/280) against Lance Lynn on fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of just .231 (338 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 98th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has struck out 29% (100/341) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 10-3 (.769) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .674.
The Orioles are just 21-71 (.228) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Orioles are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are just 29-3 (.906) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The White Sox are just 2-21 (.087) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The White Sox are just 4-17 (.190) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The White Sox are just 2-31 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won just 56% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Orioles have won just 52% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have 216 strikeouts in 843 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .225 (43 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .657.
The White Sox are batting just .077 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
The White Sox are batting .294 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The White Sox are batting just .149 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 2 of 114 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 264 of 2,679 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 393.9 feet — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Arm, D15
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Adam Engel (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): ACL, D10
- Joshua Harrison (White Sox): Triceps, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Rougned Odor (Orioles): Back, Day-to-Day
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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