- The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (6-5), 4.25 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (12-1), 2.40 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Diego Padres (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 61-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 64-41 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -160 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 70.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 36 away games (+11.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 away games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 102 games (+18.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 54 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mookie Betts | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonsolin | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Sean Manaea | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 83 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 away games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 away games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 102 games (+21.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 101 games (+14.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 105 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 51-57 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.14% ROI).
- 61-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.55% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -8.43% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.37% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 64-41 against the Run Line (+19.6 Units / 15.67% ROI).
- 72-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 1.6% ROI
- 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.85 Units / -18.93% ROI
- 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 9.8% ROI
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (22/133) against Sean Manaea when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (23 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has a strikeout rate of 47% (111 SO in 235 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 84th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .120 (25-for-208) against Sean Manaea with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 96th Percentile.
Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .132 (32-for-242) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (66-for-370) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (45-for-351) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OBP of just .166 (229 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 98th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 31-23 (.574) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Padres are 51-13 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Padres are 19-5 (.792) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Dodgers are 35-15 (.700) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Dodgers are 187-38 (.831) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Dodgers are 22-76 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,412 of their 4,284 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Padres are batting .175 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Padres hitters are slugging .234 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,117 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .778 (1,245 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 738 walks in 7,292 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,879 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6
Padres pitchers have walked 58 of 970 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (2,451 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6
Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (2,451 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (2388.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, D10
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
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