Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (48-28) are -160 favorites vs the Padres (46-33)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (7-3), 3.26 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (8-1), 3.23 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The San Diego Padres (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Saturday, July 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 46-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 44-32 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -155O 8 -115+135
Dodgers -1.5 +125U 8 -105-160

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 83.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+11.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Eric Hosmer has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+5.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Gavin Lux 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Justin Turner 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Gavin Lux 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Justin Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Gavin Lux 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Justin Turner 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson 3.5 -175 3.5 +125
Yu Darvish 5.5 -175 5.5 +120
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 away games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 76 games (+8.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 41-38 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 2.96% ROI).

  • 46-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 4.75% ROI
  • 34-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -14.76% ROI
  • 43-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 6.44% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 44-32 against the Run Line (+9.1 Units / 10.09% ROI).

  • 48-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -6.01% ROI
  • 29-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.15 Units / -19.32% ROI
  • 41-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.85 Units / 10.55% ROI

Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .098 (4 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .098 (4-for-41) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .565 (352 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .111 (3-for-27) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 98th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .121 (12 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has walked 13 of 313 batters (4%) this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 61% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (600/990) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .812 (26 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .432 — third Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Padres are 38-10 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Padres are 5-22 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Padres are 7-5 (.583) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 45-11 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 26-16 (.619) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Dodgers are 22-12 (.647) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Dodgers are 36-3 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,289 of their 3,876 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters are slugging .262 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Padres hitters have an OBP of .324 (1,676 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 70% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .329 (4,926 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 70 total hits (53%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.4

The Padres have won 56% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Padres pitchers have walked 42 of 713 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .160 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (1084.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,772 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (367.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary McKinstry (Dodgers): Neck, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.