- The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres starting pitcher: Nicholas Martinez, 0.00 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Padres are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 3-4 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -130 | O 11 -110 | +145 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | U 11 -110 | -175 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+3.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 89 away games (+10.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 away games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 4-3 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 11.7% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -14.97% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -16.67% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 11.84% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 3-4 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -11.18% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.96% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 8.97% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -17.11% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has not allowed a hit to any of the last 36 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Ryan Pressly has the longest active streak at 68.
Nick Martinez has pitched 10.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Opponents batted just .059 (1-for-17) against Nick Martinez versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 94th Percentile.
Nick Martinez allowed an OBP of just .158 (19 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — tied for 12th best among among 141 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 92nd Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard had second base stolen on him 25 times last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard allowed 30 stolen bases last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard had third base stolen on him 5 times last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .433 (13-for-30) against Noah Syndergaard in late innings last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .254 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Padres are 71-7 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Padres are 22-2 (.917) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Padres are 32-9 (.780) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Padres batted just .230 at home last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Padres hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .193 against Padres pitchers with the shift last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
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