Padres vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (54-43) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (38-58)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (5-4), 4.11 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-4), 4.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Diego Padres (-160) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+135) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Padres vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 54-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-52 ATS.

Padres vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +105O 8.5 -110-160
Tigers +1.5 -125U 8.5 -110+135

Padres vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 away games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 33 away games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Tigers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Harold Castro 0.5 +1100 0.5
Javier Baez 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Tigers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Harold Castro 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Javier Baez 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Tigers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Harold Castro 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Javier Baez 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Tigers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Hutchison 2.5 -145 2.5 +105
Sean Manaea 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 72 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 96 games (+2.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 away games (+2.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+17.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games (+2.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 games (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 46-51 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -5.07% ROI).

  • 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 43-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -12.86% ROI
  • 52-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 4.02% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-16.2 Units / -13.25% ROI).

  • 38-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -10.52% ROI
  • 36-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.7 Units / -22.48% ROI
  • 55-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +16 Units / 15.05% ROI

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .676 (25 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — fourth Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 38 of 418 batters (9%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (651/1,508) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (19 Total Bases / 96 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.

Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 12% (8 SO in 65 PAs) this month (3 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (17/30) against Drew Hutchison this month (3 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 27% (8 SO in 30 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 41% — seventh Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has allowed an OPS of .744 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .496 — eighth Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Padres are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 6-30 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Padres are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Padres are 45-12 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Tigers are just 4-28 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Tigers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Tigers are just 4-42 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

Padres hitters are slugging just .339 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Padres hitters are slugging just .369 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

The Padres are batting just .223 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Padres hitters have just 20 strikeouts in 134 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .584 (2,561 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (2,561 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,721 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Padres have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Tigers pitchers this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Abrams (Padres): Biceps, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.