- The Padres (54-43) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (38-58)
- Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (5-4), 4.11 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-4), 4.46 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Diego Padres (-160) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+135) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Padres vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 54-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-52 ATS.
Padres vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -110 | -160 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -110 | +135 |
Padres vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 away games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 33 away games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Tigers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Hutchison | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +105 |
| Sean Manaea | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 72 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 96 games (+2.60 Units / 2% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 away games (+2.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+17.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games (+2.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 games (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 46-51 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -5.07% ROI).
- 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.9% ROI
- 43-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 52-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 4.02% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-16.2 Units / -13.25% ROI).
- 38-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 36-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.7 Units / -22.48% ROI
- 55-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +16 Units / 15.05% ROI
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .676 (25 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — fourth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 38 of 418 batters (9%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (651/1,508) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (19 Total Bases / 96 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 12% (8 SO in 65 PAs) this month (3 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (17/30) against Drew Hutchison this month (3 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 27% (8 SO in 30 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 41% — seventh Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has allowed an OPS of .744 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .496 — eighth Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Padres are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 6-30 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Padres are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Padres are 45-12 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Tigers are just 4-28 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Tigers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Tigers are just 4-42 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .339 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Padres hitters are slugging just .369 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Padres are batting just .223 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Padres hitters have just 20 strikeouts in 134 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .584 (2,561 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (2,561 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,721 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Tigers pitchers this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Paul Abrams (Padres): Biceps, Day-to-Day
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
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