Phillies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 04, 2022, 8:41 AM
  • The Giants (63-68) are -130 favorites vs the Phillies (73-60)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez (8-5), 3.42 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (12-7), 3.03 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 72-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 58-69 ATS.

Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -190O 7.5 -110+105
Giants -1.5 +155U 7.5 -110-130

Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 51 away games (+18.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 55 away games (+15.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 45 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 75 of their last 128 games (+18.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 away games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.42 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.48 Units / 10% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 67-63 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 1.72% ROI).

  • 72-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1% ROI
  • 66-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 59-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -9.1% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 58-69 against the Run Line (-19.75 Units / -12.41% ROI).

  • 62-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.95 Units / -13.14% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -7.65% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (371/643) against Ranger Suarez since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (18/144) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.0 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season (100 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 89.7

Opponents are hitting just .166 (50-for-302) against Ranger Suarez’s inside fastball since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 37% (47 SO in 126 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (96 SO in 242 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (288/609) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (385/1,266) against Carlos Rodon this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Phillies are 13-46 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Phillies are 11-46 (.193) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 34-30 (.531) on the road this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Giants are 6-54 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are 50-4 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Giants are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Giants are 107-72 (.598) at home since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Phillies hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Phillies are batting .270 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Phillies hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Phillies hitters are slugging .481 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Giants are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have drawn 331 walks in 3,419 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .299 (571 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH since the start of last season (7,122 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Phillies pitchers have walked 168 of 2,605 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .250 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Phillies pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 776 of 10,924 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 162 of 2,626 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Joseph Bart (Giants): Concussion, D7
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
  • Nicholas Castellanos (Phillies): Oblique, Day-to-Day
  • Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Zachary Wheeler (Phillies): Forearm, D15
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.