- The Phillies (33-31) are -190 favorites vs the Nationals (23-43)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez (4-4), 4.39 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Joan Adon (1-10), 6.95 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-190) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+155) in Game 1 of their doubleheader on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 33-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 25-41 ATS.
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -125 | O 10.5 +100 | -190 |
| Nationals | +1.5 +105 | U 10.5 -120 | +155 |
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Maikel Franco | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joan Adon | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
| Ranger Suarez | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 33-31 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 2.49% ROI).
- 33-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 37-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.65 Units / 13.65% ROI
- 25-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -21.92% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 25-41 against the Run Line (-22.35 Units / -27.68% ROI).
- 23-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -17.54% ROI
- 36-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 8.53% ROI
- 27-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -16.93% ROI
Ranger Suárez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (502/826) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has walked 22 of 207 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (95/432) against Ranger Suarez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 10 of Ranger Suarez’s 104 elevated fastballs out of the zone (10%) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Joan Adon: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paolo Espino has walked 4 of 119 batters (3%) this season — tied for 12th best among among 245 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (16/55) against Paolo Espino this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Paolo Espino has walked 2 of 72 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (21/144) against Paolo Espino in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies are 7-23 (.233) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Phillies are 6-22 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Phillies are just 24-4 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Phillies are 17-103 (.142) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals are just 11-23 (.324) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Nationals are just 4-139 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Nationals are just 12-20 (.375) on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Nationals are just 4-40 (.091) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .461 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,104 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Phillies hitters are slugging .451 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Phillies hitters have 650 strikeouts in 2,725 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .335 (4,428 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Nationals have scored 0.97 runs per game (64/66) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.42.
Nationals hitters have just 344 strikeouts in 1,703 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 217 double plays in 1,714 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .278 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .253 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.98 (271.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Nationals pitchers have walked 248 of 2,592 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .328 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Nationals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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