Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:03 AM
  • The Phillies (36-31) are -175 favorites vs the Nationals (23-46)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin (2-4), 3.98 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Jackson Tetreault (0-1), 15.75 ERA
  • Watch the game on Peacock

The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 36-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 27-42 ATS.

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 -110O 9.5 -110-175
Nationals +1.5 -110U 9.5 -110+145

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.20 Units / 66% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.95 Units / 99% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+4.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Josh Bell 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Juan Soto 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

    Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Juan Soto 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
    Lane Thomas 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
    Luis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
    Maikel Franco 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

    Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
    Josh Bell 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
    Juan Soto 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

    Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Zach Eflin 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
    Tetreault 3.5 -125 3.5 -110
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games (+17.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 34-33 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 1.17% ROI).

    • 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.04% ROI
    • 38-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 11.27% ROI
    • 27-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -19.74% ROI

    Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 27-42 against the Run Line (-21.55 Units / -25.46% ROI).

    • 23-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -21.01% ROI
    • 37-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 6.45% ROI
    • 29-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -15.02% ROI

    Zach Eflin has an ERA of 8.85 (20.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — second Percentile.

    Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of .707 (29 Total Bases / 41 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .394 — 0 Percentile.

    Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.5 MPH this season (183 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

    Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.5 MPH (183 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — 99th Percentile.

    Jackson Tetreault: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    starting pitcher – home

    Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

    The Phillies are 8-23 (.258) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Phillies are 7-22 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Phillies are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    The Phillies are just 118-13 (.901) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

    Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

    The Nationals are just 11-26 (.297) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    The Nationals are just 23-41 (.359) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

    The Nationals are just 4-140 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.

    The Nationals are just 97-15 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

    The Phillies are 8-23 (.258) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    Phillies hitters are slugging .448 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.

    Phillies hitters have an OPS of .785 (805 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

    The Phillies are batting .385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

    Nationals hitters have just 147 strikeouts in 832 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Nationals hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 194 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 31% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

    Nationals hitters have an OBP of .347 (3,269 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .276 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

    Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,656 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

    The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (1,656 balls in play) — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

    Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

    Nationals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
  • Alcides Escobar (Nationals): Hamstring, D10
  • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
  • Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor Strain, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Right Forearm, D60
  • Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Blister, Day-to-Day

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.