- The Phillies (36-33) are -145 favorites vs the Rangers (32-35)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (6-3), 2.68 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (2-3), 4.27 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+120) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Phillies vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 36-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 40-27 ATS.
Phillies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 -115 | -145 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -140 | U 7.5 -105 | +120 |
Phillies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 40% ROI)
Rangers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Rangers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -110 |
| Jon Gray | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 56 games (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 47 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 54 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 47 games (+2.28 Units / 4% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 34-35 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.43% ROI).
- 36-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -3.79% ROI
- 39-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 10.96% ROI
- 28-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -19.27% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 40-27 against the Run Line (+9.65 Units / 10.95% ROI).
- 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -8.04% ROI
- 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.2% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (324/738) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.2 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (351 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (339/685) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 71.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (178 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 80.1
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (7/30) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (11/50) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (40/203) against Jon Gray this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 28% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 (71-for-416) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 94th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Phillies are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .073.
The Phillies are 7-24 (.226) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Phillies are just 25-4 (.862) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Phillies are just 115-18 (.865) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rangers are just 23-6 (.793) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Rangers are 6-26 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Rangers are just 21-4 (.840) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Rangers are 18-3 (.857) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .073.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .776 (834 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .757 (1,301 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Phillies hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 180 walks in 2,647 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,647 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,019 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .675 (8,433 PA’s) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .254 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .278 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 60 of 598 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
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