Rangers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 29, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Rangers (66-88) are +100 favorites vs the Mariners (84-70)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (7-7), 3.63 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (10-15), 4.05 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Thursday, September 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).

The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 66-88 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 81-73 ATS.

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +170O 7 -105+100
Mariners +1.5 -200U 7 -115-120

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 64.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 40 away games (+25.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 58 away games (+24.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+22.30 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 87 games (+15.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 59 games at home (+12.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)

Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +1200 0.5
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Carlos Santana 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Carlos Santana 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Carlos Santana 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marco Gonzales 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
Jon Gray 5.5 +115 5.5 -160
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 82-72 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.58% ROI).

  • 66-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -10.86% ROI
  • 75-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.23% ROI
  • 69-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -7.51% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 81-73 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -1.52% ROI).

  • 84-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.65% ROI
  • 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -7.91% ROI
  • 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.32% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .165 (85-for-514) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 95th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jon Gray vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 417.6 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Opponents are hitting just .164 (35-for-214) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .190 (44-for-231) against Jon Gray this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 94th Percentile.

Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (63 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .425 — 0 Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.4 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.4 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 93.2 — third Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,103/2,177) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 51-10 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are 36-11 (.766) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Rangers are just 21-70 (.231) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Rangers are just 63-77 (.450) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are 41-9 (.820) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Mariners are 44-37 (.543) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Mariners are 37-11 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (8,078 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (4,047 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

The Rangers are hitting .317 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .216 at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .216 at home since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rangers pitchers have walked 135 of 1,369 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 552 of 5,870 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 26 of 218 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (25 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Corey Seager (Rangers): Arm, Day-to-Day
  • Dane Dunning (Rangers): Hip, D15
  • Nicholas Solak (Rangers): Foot, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.