- The – (49-29) are favorites vs the – (49-29)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-6), 4.09 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (2-1), 1.28 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Texas Rangers () visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles () on Monday, July 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rangers vs Orioles Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 37-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 51-29 ATS.
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | O | ||
| Orioles | U |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 70.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 away games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 27 games at home (+12.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcus Semien | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 66 games (+17.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+11.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 64 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 57 games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 40 away games (+3.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 60 games (+17.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 60 games (+11.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 45-32 against the Run Line (+9.1 Units / 9.08% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.7% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -9.94% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 2.24% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 51-29 against the Run Line (+15.65 Units / 15.31% ROI).
- 36-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 9.15% ROI
- 34-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -13.82% ROI
- 43-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 6.31% ROI
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (78/132) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (21/132) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (36/110) against Dane Dunning on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 86th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .281 (47-for-167) against Dane Dunning this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 10th Percentile.
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has pitched 18.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 22.1.
Dean Kremer has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to June 12nd — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.
Dean Kremer has not allowed a home run in any of the last 27.1 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 45.2.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (4/15) against Dean Kremer — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 15th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.
The Rangers are just 35-35 (.500) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Rangers are just 50-101 (.331) on the road since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Rangers are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 17-4 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Orioles are just 8-25 (.242) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,949 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,068 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (5,627 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,720 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won just 56% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 36% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Orioles hitters have 232 strikeouts in 915 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 2 of 96 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (1045.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15
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