Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (52-43) are -125 favorites vs the Orioles (47-48)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (6-5), 3.73 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (1-1), 6.37 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 52-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 61-34 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +125O 8.5 -110-125
Orioles +1.5 -155U 8.5 -110+105

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 away games (+16.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 away games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games at home (+15.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+12.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Anthony Santander 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Austin Hays 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Ramon Urias 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Anthony Santander 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Austin Hays 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Ramon Urias 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Austin Hays 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Ramon Urias 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Voth 3.5 -160 3.5 +110
Corey Kluber 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+4.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 68 games (+3.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 28 games (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 75 games (+22.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 75 games (+20.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-51 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -5.62% ROI).

  • 52-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -2.72% ROI
  • 44-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -6.11% ROI
  • 47-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.78% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 61-34 against the Run Line (+20.9 Units / 16.9% ROI).

  • 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +16 Units / 16.27% ROI
  • 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -8.02% ROI
  • 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.61% ROI

Corey Kluber has allowed a slugging percentage of .826 (19 Total Bases / 23 ABs) with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — fourth Percentile.

Corey Kluber has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (534/1,546) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 53% (96/181) of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .277 (28-for-101) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .157 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .518 (29-for-56) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OBP of .534 (58 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .291 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .720 (18 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .352 — third Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rays are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rays are 31-18 (.633) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 24-73 (.247) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.

The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays hitters have 737 strikeouts in 3,068 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rays hitters have drawn 199 walks in 1,658 PA’s (12%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .973 (677 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.065.

Orioles hitters have 284 strikeouts in 1,123 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 39% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Orioles hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 851 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 672 of 9,503 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,313 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.05 (1021.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.