- The Rays (52-43) are -125 favorites vs the Orioles (47-48)
- Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (6-5), 3.73 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (1-1), 6.37 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 52-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 61-34 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -125 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -110 | +105 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 away games (+16.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 away games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games at home (+15.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+12.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Voth | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
| Corey Kluber | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+4.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 68 games (+3.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 28 games (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 75 games (+22.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 75 games (+20.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-51 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -5.62% ROI).
- 52-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -2.72% ROI
- 44-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -6.11% ROI
- 47-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.78% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 61-34 against the Run Line (+20.9 Units / 16.9% ROI).
- 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +16 Units / 16.27% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -8.02% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.61% ROI
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has allowed a slugging percentage of .826 (19 Total Bases / 23 ABs) with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — fourth Percentile.
Corey Kluber has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (534/1,546) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 53% (96/181) of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .277 (28-for-101) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .157 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .518 (29-for-56) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OBP of .534 (58 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .291 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .720 (18 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .352 — third Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rays are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 31-18 (.633) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 24-73 (.247) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.
The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 737 strikeouts in 3,068 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rays hitters have drawn 199 walks in 1,658 PA’s (12%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .973 (677 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.065.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 284 strikeouts in 1,123 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 39% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 851 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 672 of 9,503 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,313 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.05 (1021.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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