Rays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 24, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (52-42) are -155 favorites vs the Royals (37-57)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (3-2), 2.53 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (1-6), 5.87 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Tampa Bay Rays (-155) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+130) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rays vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 52-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 42-52 ATS.

Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +105O 8.5 -105-155
Royals +1.5 -125U 8.5 -115+130

Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 away games (+15.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 away games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games at home (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kris Bubic 4.5 +120 4.5 -175
Jeffrey Springs 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games (+5.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+15.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-50 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -4.81% ROI).

  • 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.57% ROI
  • 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -5.05% ROI
  • 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -2.74% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 42-52 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -16.05% ROI).

  • 37-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -13.49% ROI
  • 46-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.04% ROI
  • 44-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -6.39% ROI

Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 47% (29 SO in 62 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of last season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (337/766) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 36% (56/155) against Jeffrey Springs when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has located his changeup away 75% of the time (419/558) since the start of last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 55% — 94th Percentile.

Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.080 (317 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .769 — first Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (181 Total Bases / 274 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (193/1,184) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .420 (317 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .327 — first Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Rays are 31-18 (.633) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Rays are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Royals are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are just 20-28 (.417) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Royals are just 9-29 (.237) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

Rays hitters have grounded into 129 double plays in 1,714 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 59% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

26% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Royals have won just 50% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .342 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.

The Royals have won just 54% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,187 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 843 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,305 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rays pitchers have walked 672 of 9,466 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 364 of 3,656 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 4 of 26 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The Royals have allowed 1.70 runs per game (160/94) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.