- The Rays (52-42) are -155 favorites vs the Royals (37-57)
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (3-2), 2.53 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (1-6), 5.87 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Tampa Bay Rays (-155) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+130) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rays vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 52-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 42-52 ATS.
Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -105 | -155 |
| Royals | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -115 | +130 |
Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 away games (+15.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 away games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games at home (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -175 |
| Jeffrey Springs | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games (+5.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+15.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-50 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -4.81% ROI).
- 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.57% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -5.05% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -2.74% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 42-52 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -16.05% ROI).
- 37-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -13.49% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.04% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -6.39% ROI
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 47% (29 SO in 62 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of last season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (337/766) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 36% (56/155) against Jeffrey Springs when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has located his changeup away 75% of the time (419/558) since the start of last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 55% — 94th Percentile.
Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.080 (317 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .769 — first Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (181 Total Bases / 274 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (193/1,184) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .420 (317 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .327 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rays are 31-18 (.633) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Rays are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Royals are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Royals are just 20-28 (.417) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Royals are just 9-29 (.237) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 129 double plays in 1,714 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 59% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
26% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 50% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .342 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
The Royals have won just 54% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,187 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 843 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,305 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have walked 672 of 9,466 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 364 of 3,656 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 4 of 26 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Royals have allowed 1.70 runs per game (160/94) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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