- The – (94-43) are favorites vs the – (94-43)
- Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (10-7), 4.00 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (12-4), 3.95 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 74-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-76 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+18.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 63% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+11.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Miguel Andujar | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Miguel Andujar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Miguel Andujar | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Kluber | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
| Jameson Taillon | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 64-67 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -0.94% ROI).
- 74-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.53% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -6.6% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.39% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 59-76 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -12.75% ROI).
- 82-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -1.47% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -8.71% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.2% ROI
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has walked 10 of 312 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has a strikeout rate of just 12% (15 SO in 125 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Corey Kluber has allowed an OPS of .896 (125 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% (66/166) against Corey Kluber in two-strike counts this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 14th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (eighth lowest)– 15th Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (highest among qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of just .222 (126 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 95th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 26 of 600 batters (4%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 94th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 9 of 334 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 13-10 (.565) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 65-8 (.890) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rays are 35-9 (.795) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Rays are 47-24 (.662) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Yankees are 9-37 (.196) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Yankees are 7-44 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Yankees are 47-12 (.797) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OBP of .559 (34 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rays are batting .464 against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 34 PA’s (9%) against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put 53% of their swings in play against LHP this month (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 819 walks in 8,062 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 154 of 2,682 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 61 of 1,220 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 324 of 5,000 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 928 of 13,210 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 365 of 5,101 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, D10
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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