- The Angels (27-28) are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox (27-27)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Michael Wacha (3-1), 2.43 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (4-3), 4.01 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-125) on Monday, June 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Red Sox vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 27-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 26-29 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -110 | +105 |
| Angels | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -110 | -125 |
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+14.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.10 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+8.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+6.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andrew Velazquez has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andrew Velazquez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+5.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1H Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1H Total Under in 26 of their last 47 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1H Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1H Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+4.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 30-24 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 8.45% ROI).
- 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -8.19% ROI
- 21-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -12.03% ROI
- 26-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 6.27% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 26-29 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -6.52% ROI).
- 27-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -12.99% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 2.96% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -11.03% ROI
Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .111 (4-for-36) against Michael Wacha on inside fastballs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (421/834) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 40% (272/689) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .234 (18-for-77) against Michael Wacha in non-two strike counts this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 97th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 13 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed a slugging percentage of just .087 (2 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 99th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 10 times this season — tied for most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has an ERA of 7.88 (16.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — second Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Red Sox are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Red Sox are just 6-22 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Red Sox are just 115-19 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Angels are just 3-16 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Angels are just 24-4 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Angels are just 4-16 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 599 of their 2,073 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Red Sox are batting .264 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .432 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Angels are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Angels hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .237 over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox have won 49% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Angels pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed 116 barreled balls this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
Angels vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D10
- Kurt Suzuki (Angels): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Hamstring, D10
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Nasal Fracture, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Hansel Robles (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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