- The Blue Jays (40-32) are -190 favorites vs the Red Sox (42-31)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Connor Seabold (-), – ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (5-6), 3.19 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-190) on Monday, June 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 42-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 32-40 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -115 | +155 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -190 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 44 games (+17.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+12.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 72 games (+7.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 31 games (+18.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 41-32 against the Run Line (+9.85 Units / 10.77% ROI).
- 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 5.45% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -13.46% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 7.87% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 32-40 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -12.78% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -6.63% ROI
- 39-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 4.11% ROI
- 32-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -14.55% ROI
Connor Seabold: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has walked 3 of 137 left-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 42% (269/642) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his breaking pitches away 79% of the time (134/170) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman’s K:BB ratio is 9.7 (29/3) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.7 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are 18-3 (.857) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Red Sox are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Red Sox are 23-6 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Red Sox are just 34-6 (.850) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Blue Jays are 31-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Blue Jays are 21-14 (.600) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .776 (675 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (675 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .678 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .455 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,368 strikeouts in 6,705 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Red Sox have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 664 of 8,610 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 191 of 2,694 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 118 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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