Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 27

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 27, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (40-32) are -190 favorites vs the Red Sox (42-31)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Connor Seabold (-), ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (5-6), 3.19 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-190) on Monday, June 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 42-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 32-40 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -125O 9.5 -115+155
Blue Jays -1.5 +105U 9.5 -105-190

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Bo Bichette 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
George Springer 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Matt Chapman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +340 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Bo Bichette 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
George Springer 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Matt Chapman 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Bo Bichette 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
George Springer 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Matt Chapman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gausman 5.5 -155 5.5 +110
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 44 games (+17.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+12.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 72 games (+7.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 31 games (+18.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 28% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 41-32 against the Run Line (+9.85 Units / 10.77% ROI).

  • 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 5.45% ROI
  • 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -13.46% ROI
  • 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 7.87% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 32-40 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -12.78% ROI).

  • 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -6.63% ROI
  • 39-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 4.11% ROI
  • 32-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -14.55% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has walked 3 of 137 left-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 42% (269/642) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his breaking pitches away 79% of the time (134/170) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman’s K:BB ratio is 9.7 (29/3) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.7 — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are 18-3 (.857) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Red Sox are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Red Sox are 23-6 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Red Sox are just 34-6 (.850) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Blue Jays are 31-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Blue Jays are 21-14 (.600) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .776 (675 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (675 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .678 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .455 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,368 strikeouts in 6,705 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Red Sox have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 664 of 8,610 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 191 of 2,694 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 118 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Red Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.