- The Orioles are -160 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Corey Kluber
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Watch the game on MASN
The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 12-10 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -120 | +135 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 9 +100 | -160 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.90 Units / 91% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Corey Kluber | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 6.86% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 17-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 34.98% ROI
- 7-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -45.32% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 12-10 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.58% ROI).
- 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 25.29% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 9% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -15.94% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has an average fastball velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Corey Kluber has a strike rate of 70% (1,020/1,448) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to October 2nd, 2022 — tied with Jose Urena for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Corey Kluber walked 21 of 689 batters (3%) in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 7.21 (63.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has pitched 12.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 29.1.
Opponents are hitting .406 (26-for-64) against Kyle Bradish on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .339 — ninth Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .245 (12 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 97th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are 4-11 (.267) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Red Sox are 8-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .879.
The Red Sox are 6-9 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Red Sox are 8-76 (.095) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 5-4 (.556) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Orioles are 15-5 (.750) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Orioles are 40-12 (.769) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Orioles are 9-73 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .468 (79 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Red Sox hitters are slugging just .197 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .355 (439 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Orioles hitters have grounded into 8 double plays in 33 opportunities (24%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Orioles are batting .419 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .344.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.99 (67.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.12 (211.0 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.40 (730.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .087 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .136 against Orioles pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 64 of 819 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D10
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Martin (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Hamstring, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Oblique, D15
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