Red Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Red Sox (54-55) are -160 favorites vs the Royals (43-65)
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford (3-3), 3.85 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-12), 4.60 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Boston Red Sox (-160) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+135) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Red Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 54-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 49-59 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +100O 9.5 -115-160
Royals +1.5 -120U 9.5 -105+135

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 74.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 away games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 away games (+10.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 42 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+17.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 61 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Royals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
MJ Melendez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Michael Massey 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Royals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
MJ Melendez 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Michael Massey 0.5 -185 0.5 +130

Royals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
MJ Melendez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Michael Massey 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Royals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brad Keller 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
Kutter Crawford 5.5 +120 5.5 -165
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 56 away games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 away games (+5.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 80 games (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 80 games (+5.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+15.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 56-53 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.14% ROI).

  • 54-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -5.1% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -6.92% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.25% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 49-59 against the Run Line (-20.7 Units / -14.57% ROI).

  • 43-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -11.73% ROI
  • 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.57% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (50/150) against Kutter Crawford this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (4/24) against Kutter Crawford against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (8/35) against Kutter Crawford — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 96th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Kutter Crawford this season is 410.0 feet — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (16-for-32) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (22/150) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted .619 (13-for-21) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 16% (76 SO in 487 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Red Sox are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Red Sox are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Red Sox are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 22-11 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Royals are just 1-51 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Royals are just 5-48 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Royals are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Red Sox are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Royals hitters have just 531 strikeouts in 2,781 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .366 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Royals have won just 55% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.65 (1209.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.

The Red Sox have won 45% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (2,791 batted balls) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,004 of 10,307 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals pitchers have walked 413 of 4,180 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D15
  • Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D60
  • Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
  • Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Groin, D15
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Robert Refsnyder (Red Sox): Knee, D10
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.