- The Red Sox (54-55) are -160 favorites vs the Royals (43-65)
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford (3-3), 3.85 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-12), 4.60 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Boston Red Sox (-160) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+135) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Red Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 54-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 49-59 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -115 | -160 |
| Royals | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -105 | +135 |
Red Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 74.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 away games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 away games (+10.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 42 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+17.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 61 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Royals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
Royals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Keller | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -130 |
| Kutter Crawford | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 56 away games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 away games (+5.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 80 games (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 80 games (+5.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+15.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 56-53 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.14% ROI).
- 54-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -5.1% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -6.92% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.25% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 49-59 against the Run Line (-20.7 Units / -14.57% ROI).
- 43-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.57% ROI
Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (50/150) against Kutter Crawford this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (4/24) against Kutter Crawford against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (8/35) against Kutter Crawford — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 96th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Kutter Crawford this season is 410.0 feet — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 398.0
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (16-for-32) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (22/150) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .619 (13-for-21) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 16% (76 SO in 487 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Red Sox are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Red Sox are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Red Sox are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 22-11 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Royals are just 1-51 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 5-48 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Royals are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 531 strikeouts in 2,781 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .366 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Royals have won just 55% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.65 (1209.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
The Red Sox have won 45% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (2,791 batted balls) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 1,004 of 10,307 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have walked 413 of 4,180 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Neck, Day-to-Day
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D15
- Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D60
- Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
- Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Groin, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Robert Refsnyder (Red Sox): Knee, D10
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
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