Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 06, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Boston Red Sox () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Thursday, April 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Red Sox vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 2-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 2-4 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox O
Tigers U

Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Triston Casas has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.75 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eric Haase has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)

Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Adam Duvall 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +1050 0.5
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Adam Duvall 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Alex Verdugo 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Christian Arroyo 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Adam Duvall 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Sale 6.5 -115 6.5 -115
Spencer Turnbull 3.5 -160 3.5 +125
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 66 away games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 72 away games (+4.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 168 games (+14.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.30 Units / 42% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 1-5 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -60% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -43.1% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -37.78% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 6.67% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 26.67% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -34.88% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of .667 (18 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Turnbull has thrown inside pitches 56% of the time (35/63) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .571 (8-for-14) against Spencer Turnbull this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OPS of 1.595 (18 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: .741 — first Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

keys to the game – away

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,472 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .331 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,703 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Red Sox pitchers have attempted to pick off a runner at second base 4 times this season — tied for most in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 5.24 (663.1 IP) against division opponents in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 4.59 (735.0 IP) at home in 2022 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Tigers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Tigers pitchers have picked-off 1 runner from first base this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Nevin (Tigers): Oblique, D10
  • Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Hamstring, D15
  • Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Oblique, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.