- The Brewers (73-66) are -225 favorites vs the Reds (56-80)
- Reds starting pitcher: Robert Anderson (0-2), 12.60 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (5-9), 4.83 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Cincinnati Reds (+185) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-225) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 53-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 55-80 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 +100 | O 9 -120 | +185 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -120 | U 9 +100 | -225 |
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+10.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI)
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-70 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -8.37% ROI).
- 53-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -9.43% ROI
- 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.5% ROI
- 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.19% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-80 against the Run Line (-32.2 Units / -19.81% ROI).
- 71-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.65 Units / -10.49% ROI
- 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.15% ROI
- 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -4.3% ROI
Robert Anderson: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has limited playing time.
Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (692/1,298) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (158/297) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 107 of Adrian Houser’s 526 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (236/390) against Adrian Houser since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 54-63 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Reds are just 40-9 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Reds are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 11-61 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are just 8-30 (.211) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Brewers are 8-49 (.140) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Brewers are 8-51 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Reds hitters are slugging just .500 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .557.
The Reds are batting just .244 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Reds are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .223 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Brewers hitters have 395 strikeouts in 1,518 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 504 of 5,236 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,121 of 11,435 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 105 of 1,199 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
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