Reds vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Brewers (73-66) are -225 favorites vs the Reds (56-80)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Robert Anderson (0-2), 12.60 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (5-9), 4.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Cincinnati Reds (+185) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-225) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 53-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 55-80 ATS.

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 +100O 9 -120+185
Brewers -1.5 -120U 9 +100-225

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+10.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI)

Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Christian Yelich 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Kolten Wong 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Christian Yelich 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Kolten Wong 0.5 -140 0.5 -105

Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Christian Yelich 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Kolten Wong 0.5 +250 0.5 -375

Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adrian Houser 3.5 -115 3.5 -125
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-70 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -8.37% ROI).

  • 53-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -9.43% ROI
  • 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.5% ROI
  • 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.19% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-80 against the Run Line (-32.2 Units / -19.81% ROI).

  • 71-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.65 Units / -10.49% ROI
  • 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.15% ROI
  • 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -4.3% ROI

Chase Anderson has limited playing time.

Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adrian Houser has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (692/1,298) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (158/297) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 107 of Adrian Houser’s 526 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (236/390) against Adrian Houser since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are just 54-63 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Reds are just 40-9 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Reds are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 11-61 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers are just 8-30 (.211) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Brewers are 8-49 (.140) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Brewers are 8-51 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Reds hitters are slugging just .500 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .557.

The Reds are batting just .244 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Reds are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Brewers are batting just .223 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Brewers hitters have 395 strikeouts in 1,518 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Reds pitchers have walked 504 of 5,236 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,121 of 11,435 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 105 of 1,199 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.