Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 24, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Phillies (68-55) are -250 favorites vs the Reds (48-73)
  • Reds starting pitcher: Timothy James Zeuch (0-2), 13.50 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sánchez (1-1), 3.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-PH

The Cincinnati Reds (+200) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Reds vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 46-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 62-59 ATS.

Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 +100O 9 +100+200
Phillies -1.5 -120U 9 -120-250

Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 47 games at home (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games at home (+13.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 35 games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)

Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Bradley Zimmer 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Bryson Stott 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Jean Segura 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500

Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 1.5 +130 1.5 -185
Bradley Zimmer 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Bryson Stott 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
J.T. Realmuto 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Jean Segura 0.5 -300 0.5 +195

Phillies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Bradley Zimmer 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Bryson Stott 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Jean Segura 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
T.J. Zeuch 2.5 -160 2.5 +115
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 93 games (+15.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 40 away games (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 118 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 56-63 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -8.74% ROI).

  • 46-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -11.59% ROI
  • 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.47% ROI
  • 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -6.99% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-59 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.33% ROI).

  • 67-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 2.82% ROI
  • 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.69% ROI
  • 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -6.49% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (12/17) against T.J. Zeuch against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.

T.J. Zeuch has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to April 9th, 2021 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 10.

Cristopher Sánchez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Reds are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Reds are just 22-37 (.373) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Reds are just 34-8 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Phillies are 13-41 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 53-2 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .677 (3,166 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Reds hitters are slugging just .374 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .632 (2,194 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.

The Reds have won just 58% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,353 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Phillies have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Phillies are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Phillies hitters are slugging .524 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 64 double plays in 939 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .305 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,067 of 10,870 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 223 of 2,504 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,947 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Phillies pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (6,873 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Ankle, D10
  • Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.