Rockies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (51-43) are -275 favorites vs the Rockies (43-51)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña (1-1), 2.05 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (7-3), 3.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 43-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 39-55 ATS.

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +105O 8.5 -115+220
Brewers -1.5 -130U 8.5 -105-275

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)

Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Christian Yelich 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000

Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jonathan Davis 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Kolten Wong 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Luis Urias 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Christian Yelich 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Kolten Wong 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Woodruff 6.5 -110 6.5 -125
Jose Urena 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 83 games (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 43 games (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 50-44 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.34% ROI).

  • 43-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.1% ROI
  • 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -2.65% ROI
  • 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -6.59% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 39-55 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -17.17% ROI).

  • 51-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -7.02% ROI
  • 46-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.87% ROI
  • 43-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -6.61% ROI

Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (210/395) of opposing batters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Jose Urena has struck out just 8% (23/284) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of just .100 (20 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .359 (14-for-39) against Jose Urena this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .212 — first Percentile.

Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Woodruff has struck out 41% (55/135) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .047 (2 GB hits out of 43 GBs) against Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 41% (117/288) against Brandon Woodruff this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/26) against Brandon Woodruff this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies are just 15-28 (.349) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Rockies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 34-1 (.971) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rockies are 33-11 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The Brewers are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 42-5 (.894) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Brewers are 19-101 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Rockies are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .352 (1,959 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Brewers hitters have 30 strikeouts in 96 PA’s (31%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.3

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.3 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.