Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (66-33) are -250 favorites vs the Royals (39-59)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (4-3), 3.82 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (10-2), 3.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on YES

The Kansas City Royals (+190) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-250) on Thursday, July 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Royals vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 39-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 48-51 ATS.

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 +100O 8.5 +100+190
Yankees -1.5 -120U 8.5 -120-250

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+16.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 30 away games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Aaron Judge 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jose Trevino 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Aaron Judge 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jose Trevino 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Aaron Judge 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jose Trevino 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jameson Taillon 4.5 -165 4.5 +120
Brady Singer 4.5 -160 4.5 +115
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+13.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 43 games at home (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 44-54 against the Run Line (-19.3 Units / -14.91% ROI).

  • 39-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -13.17% ROI
  • 46-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -6.22% ROI
  • 48-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -2.45% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 48-51 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -4.06% ROI).

  • 66-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 6.4% ROI
  • 48-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -4.44% ROI
  • 48-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -4.17% ROI

Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (206/905) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (12-for-28) against Brady Singer in close and late situations since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (330/681) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 59% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (377/642) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.

Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .457 (21-for-46) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — third Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 399.4

Jameson Taillon has walked 15 of 427 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 248 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Royals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 1-47 (.021) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 37-12 (.755) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Yankees are 7-20 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 45-6 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Yankees are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Royals hitters have just 508 strikeouts in 2,702 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals have won just 53% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.

Royals hitters have just 609 strikeouts in 3,163 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters have just 180 strikeouts in 1,009 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .428 (167 PA’s) against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.282 (714 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.

Yankees hitters are slugging .554 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Royals pitchers have walked 378 of 3,802 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have walked 969 of 9,929 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 60% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
  • Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.