- The Brewers are -185 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
- Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-185) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Tigers vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 8-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-10 ATS.
Tigers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -115 | +150 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +110 | U 9 -105 | -185 |
Tigers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.70 Units / 108% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.75 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.45 Units / 106% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.30 Units / 48% ROI)
Brewers vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Brewers vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Turnbull | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Eric Lauer | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 12-9 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -17.49% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 9.52% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 11.75% ROI).
- 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 25.31% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.2% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has thrown his changeup for a strike just 33% (13/40) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (14-for-36) against Spencer Turnbull on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .252 — second Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has spotted his fastball inside for a strike 81% (55/68) of the time this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of .515 (33 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .339 — third Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (22/66) against Eric Lauer this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (3/26) against Eric Lauer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Eric Lauer has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (42/91) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (17/55) against Eric Lauer this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Tigers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Tigers are just 36-100 (.265) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Tigers are just 9-75 (.107) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Tigers are just 3-97 (.030) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Brewers are 11-60 (.155) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Brewers are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Brewers are 10-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .879.
The Brewers are just 71-13 (.845) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,977 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,977 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .267 (477 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,203 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 57 strikeouts in 175 PA’s (33%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have 29 strikeouts in 85 PA’s (34%) against LHP over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .362 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D10
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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