Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Orioles (76-69) are -200 favorites vs the Tigers (55-91)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (3-10), 5.35 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-6), 3.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-200) on Monday, September 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 53-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 90-53 ATS.

Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -125O 8 +100+165
Orioles -1.5 +105U 8 -120-200

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 30 away games (+14.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+12.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games at home (+13.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 40 of his last 58 games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Anthony Santander 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Austin Hays 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Austin Hays 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Anthony Santander 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Austin Hays 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Alexander 2.5 -105 2.5 -135
Tyler Wells 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.95 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+2.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-78 against the Run Line (-24.25 Units / -13.43% ROI).

  • 53-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -13.92% ROI
  • 55-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.85 Units / -18.17% ROI
  • 77-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.4 Units / 10.96% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 90-53 against the Run Line (+26.65 Units / 14.14% ROI).

  • 76-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.7 Units / 19.14% ROI
  • 64-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -10.17% ROI
  • 74-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 2.31% ROI

Opponents are hitting .386 (27-for-70) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .688 (11-for-16) against Tyler Alexander versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (74/466) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .643 (45 Total Bases / 70 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.

Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .160 (8-for-50) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (20/132) against Tyler Wells this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 97 opportunities (5%) since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 11% — second Percentile.

Tyler Wells has walked 6 of 178 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers are 11-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Tigers are just 6-63 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Tigers are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are 56-1 (.982) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Orioles are just 14-26 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 41-30 (.577) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Orioles are 32-7 (.821) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (3,842 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (3,842 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .340 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Tigers hitters have 512 strikeouts in 1,748 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Orioles hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 356 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Orioles have won just 60% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

Orioles hitters have chased 30% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 45% at home since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,272 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 34% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (1241.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.