- The Orioles (76-69) are -200 favorites vs the Tigers (55-91)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (3-10), 5.35 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-6), 3.93 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-200) on Monday, September 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 53-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 90-53 ATS.
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -125 | O 8 +100 | +165 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -120 | -200 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 30 away games (+14.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+12.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games at home (+13.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 40 of his last 58 games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Hays | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Alexander | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -135 |
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+2.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-78 against the Run Line (-24.25 Units / -13.43% ROI).
- 53-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -13.92% ROI
- 55-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.85 Units / -18.17% ROI
- 77-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.4 Units / 10.96% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 90-53 against the Run Line (+26.65 Units / 14.14% ROI).
- 76-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.7 Units / 19.14% ROI
- 64-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -10.17% ROI
- 74-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 2.31% ROI
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .386 (27-for-70) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .688 (11-for-16) against Tyler Alexander versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (74/466) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .643 (45 Total Bases / 70 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .160 (8-for-50) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (20/132) against Tyler Wells this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 97 opportunities (5%) since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 11% — second Percentile.
Tyler Wells has walked 6 of 178 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are 11-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Tigers are just 6-63 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Tigers are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 56-1 (.982) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Orioles are just 14-26 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 41-30 (.577) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Orioles are 32-7 (.821) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (3,842 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (3,842 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .340 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Tigers hitters have 512 strikeouts in 1,748 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 356 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Orioles have won just 60% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have chased 30% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 45% at home since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,272 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 34% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (1241.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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